Tariffs as a Household Tax — Counterevidence

Reporting and findings

1. reported

   The Budget Lab's one-year retrospective estimated a 0.5 to 1.0 percent tariff price effect and explained why the observed effect was below its early projection.

   • The Budget Lab at Yale: One-Year Tariff Analysis: What We Got Right, What Changed, and What We LearnedPrice-effect retrospective and forecast comparison