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Baghuz strike: NGO war-crime assessment and contrary military review

Reporting and findings

  1. alleged

    In their January 9, 2022 report published by Human Rights Watch, Letta Tayler and Elisa Epstein described the 2019 Baghuz strike as an apparent war crime, relying on a New York Times investigation of attacks on women, children and fleeing survivors.

  2. documented

    General Michael Garrett's May 11, 2022 review concluded that the March 18, 2019 Baghuz strikes complied with presidentially authorized defensive rules and the law of war. It found civilian-harm reporting deficiencies but no malicious concealment. The ground force commander authorized the strikes.

  3. documented

    The Pentagon's May 17, 2022 briefing gave the Baghuz review's casualty breakdown as four civilians killed and 15 wounded, separately from 52 enemy fighters killed and two wounded. The review found no law-of-war violation and identified reporting deficiencies.

Summary and current status

Human Rights Watch authors described the March 2019 strike as an apparent war crime. A later Army review found no law-of-war violation and identified reporting failures.

Attributed NGO assessment; military review disputed illegality

People and organizations

  • Donald J. TrumpPresident whose authorized defensive rules governed the US strike

Figures

  1. US-assessed Baghuz civilian deaths4 people
    Calculation details
    Basis
    Observed
    Population
    Civilians in the March 18, 2019 Baghuz strike, US review assessment
    Period
    2019-03-18 to 2019-03-18
    Method
    US review's civilian classification and casualty breakdown, excluding enemy fighters. Existing inquiry and possible-war-crime observations are not repeated.
    Uncertainty
    Official assessment differs from earlier reporting. Preserve the separately attributed source assessment and the US review's contrary legal conclusion.
  2. Baghuz civilian-harm incident1 incidents
    Calculation details
    Basis
    Observed
    Population
    Civilians in the March 18, 2019 Baghuz strike, US review assessment
    Period
    2019-03-18 to 2019-03-18
    Method
    US review's civilian classification and casualty breakdown, excluding enemy fighters. Existing inquiry and possible-war-crime observations are not repeated.
    Uncertainty
    Official assessment differs from earlier reporting. Preserve the separately attributed source assessment and the US review's contrary legal conclusion.
  3. US-assessed Baghuz civilian injuries15 people
    Calculation details
    Basis
    Observed
    Population
    Civilians in the March 18, 2019 Baghuz strike, US review assessment
    Period
    2019-03-18 to 2019-03-18
    Method
    US review's civilian classification and casualty breakdown, excluding enemy fighters. Existing inquiry and possible-war-crime observations are not repeated.
    Uncertainty
    Official assessment differs from earlier reporting. Preserve the separately attributed source assessment and the US review's contrary legal conclusion.
  4. Baghuz incident with a disputed NGO war-crime assessment1 incident
    Calculation details
    Basis
    Observed
    Population
    March 18, 2019 Baghuz coordinated strike incident
    Period
    2019-03-18 to 2019-03-18
    As of
    2022-05-17
    Method
    Count one incident with a published source assessment, not each munition, victim or publication. Human Rights Watch authors characterized the incident as an apparent war crime. This records the existence of that assessment, not proof of a crime.
    Uncertainty
    General Garrett's subsequent May 2022 review found no law-of-war violation and no malicious concealment. Retain that contrary conclusion with the incident. Presidential defensive rules establish policy scope, not personal target approval.