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Johnson said the House reconciliation bill did not cut Medicaid

Reporting and findings

  1. estimate

    CBO's post-enactment estimate for Public Law 119-21 projected that its Medicaid chapter would reduce federal deficits by $886.8 billion over 2025–2034 and increase the number of people without health insurance by 7.5 million in 2034. These are projections, not observed coverage losses.

  2. reported

    On May 25, 2025, Johnson said, 'We have not cut Medicaid' and 'We are not cutting Medicaid' while defending the House reconciliation bill.

Summary and current status

The statement is paired with CBO's later estimate for the enacted Medicaid chapter, preserving the difference between rhetoric, projected federal outlays and projected insurance coverage.

Enacted law later received a CBO coverage and budget estimate

People and organizations

Relationships in this file

  1. Donald J. TrumpDefended Trump's reconciliation bill in a national interviewMike Johnson

Money trail

  1. otherProjected federal deficit reduction from the Medicaid chapter$886.8 billion
    Measured subject
    Federal budget under Public Law 119-21
    projected · 2025-10-07 · projected · central scenarioRead source record
    Calculation detailsPopulation Federal budget under Public Law 119-21Period 2025-01-01 to 2034-12-31Projection horizon 2034-12-31Basis CBO post-enactment estimate for the Medicaid chapter of Public Law 119-21.Limits Central CBO projection under its current-law baseline and modeling assumptions; this is not an observed saving.

Figures

  1. Projected increase in people without health insurance7.5 million people
    Calculation details
    Basis
    central projection
    Population
    U.S. population modeled by CBO under Public Law 119-21
    Period
    2025-01-01 to 2034-12-31
    As of
    2025-10-07
    Projection horizon
    2034-12-31
    Method
    CBO post-enactment coverage estimate for the Medicaid chapter of Public Law 119-21.
    Uncertainty
    Central CBO projection under its current-law baseline and modeling assumptions; it is not an observed count of people removed from Medicaid.