CBO's Estimates of the Statutory Pay-As-You-Go Effects of Public Law 119-21
This primary source from Congressional Budget Office supports 2 claims across 2 ledger entries.
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Claims supported by this source
- analysisdocumented
On this specific PAYGO theory, the Medicare promise was kept through 2026: a potential automatic reduction was legislatively prevented. The underlying law's deficit effect remains real, but it is not an actual Medicare cut.
Summary and discussion of 5- and 10-year scorecardsThe Medicare Promise Test — Audit finding · Cited analysis
- factdocumented
CBO explained that the enacted law created a potential sequestration under statutory PAYGO; OMB, not CBO, would make the ultimate determination.
Summary and discussion of 5- and 10-year scorecardsThe Medicare Promise Test — Outcome · Outcome