The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2026 to 2036

Claims supported by this source

1. analysisdocumented

   The enacted savings mechanism reduces food-assistance resources and conflicts with the promise to restore affordability for families who rely on SNAP; the exact hunger effect remains modeled rather than observed nationwide.

   Discussion of Public Law 119-21 and SNAP baseline changes

   Hunger Behind the Savings Claim — Audit finding · Cited analysis

2. analysisdocumented

   The law kept the tax-cut promise but contradicted the platform's fiscal-sanity promise under both CBO measures: a $3.4 trillion conventional primary-deficit estimate and a later $4.2 trillion total-deficit estimate that includes debt-service and macroeconomic feedback. The two figures are alternative scopes and must not be added.

   Appendix A, Budgetary and Economic Effects of the 2025 Reconciliation Act, paragraphs accompanying Table A-1

   Tax Cuts, Public Debt, Private Gain — Audit finding · Cited analysis

3. factdocumented

   CBO projected that the law's SNAP changes would reduce primary deficits by $187 billion over 2025-2034.

   Discussion of Public Law 119-21 and SNAP baseline changes

   Hunger Behind the Savings Claim — Outcome · Outcome

4. factdocumented

   CBO's 2026 outlook estimated that the 2025 reconciliation act would increase total deficits by $4.2 trillion over 2025-2034 relative to its January 2025 baseline after including interest costs and macroeconomic feedback.

   Appendix A, Budgetary and Economic Effects of the 2025 Reconciliation Act, paragraphs accompanying Table A-1

   Tax Cuts, Public Debt, Private Gain — Outcome · Outcome