Evaluating the impact of two decades of USAID interventions and projecting the effects of defunding on mortality up to 2030
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A peer-reviewed Lancet study projected that full continuation of USAID defunding could produce 14,051,750 additional all-age deaths by 2030, including 4,537,157 children under five; these are nested central projections, not observed counts and must not be added together.
Passages and source records documenting: Lancet researchers projected 14.05 million additional deaths by 2030 under full USAID defundingLancet researchers projected 14.05 million additional deaths by 2030 under full USAID defunding · Central projection remains conditional on continued severe defunding through 2030