Iran's Nuclear Program After the Strikes: What's Left and What's Next?
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The Arms Control Association assessed that although the U.S. and Israeli strikes damaged Iran's nuclear infrastructure, they could increase incentives for weaponization, leave Iran able to reconstitute its program, and undermine U.S. credibility in renewed diplomacy; the assessment did not claim Iran had made a weaponization decision.
Post-strike technical assessment and diplomacy sectionArms-control analysis warns strikes may worsen weaponization incentives and diplomacy · Independent risk assessment · reviewed 2026-09-03