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Election Dividends Would Explode Deficit and Worsen Inflation

Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget

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  1. estimate

    On September 10, 2026, the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget estimated a one-year cost of $1.2 trillion for the proposed payments. Its estimate could be lower with means-testing. The organization said tariff revenue already included in budget projections would not provide a new offset.

    Opening two paragraphs: proposed eligibility, one-year cost, means-testing and tariff-offset assumptions

    Trump proposes conditional payments to adult U.S. citizens · Conditional campaign proposal