Tiny Red HandsOpen ledger
Damage ledger
02

Executive action

Actions blocked or ruled unlawful

Not measured
Calculation
Calculation

Sum one observation per distinct presidential action, regardless of the number of rulings about that action.

Included

Executive orders and other presidential actions enjoined, vacated, or ruled unlawful by a court.

Excluded

Policy criticism, stayed decisions, and repeated rulings on an action already counted.

Estimated public cost of challenged actions

Not measured
Calculation
Calculation

Sum non-overlapping sourced cost estimates; each observation states its population, period, price basis, and uncertainty.

Included

Documented federal, state, local, or household costs attributable to identified presidential actions.

Excluded

Gross economic effects presented as taxpayer cost, overlapping estimates, and figures without a reproducible method.

Modeled tariff cost per U.S. household

Not measured
Calculation
Calculation

Use the latest independently sourced annual household-cost estimate with its tariff scenario and price-pass-through assumptions.

Included

Published models that state the covered tariffs, household population, period, and uncertainty.

Excluded

Tariff revenue, economy-wide output estimates, and figures that do not represent household cost.

03

Force and civilian harm

Threats to use armed force

Not measured
Calculation
Calculation

Sum distinct sourced statements or directives that explicitly threaten armed force; repeated publication of the same threat is counted once.

Included

An attributable statement or directive, a named target, a date, and a citation to the original words or official record.

Excluded

General capability claims, sanctions, tariffs, paraphrases, jokes, and duplicated coverage of the same statement.

States or territories threatened

Not measured
Calculation
Calculation

Use the latest reviewed de-duplicated count of named states or territories subjected to a qualifying threat of force.

Included

A named sovereign state or territory linked to at least one qualifying sourced threat.

Excluded

Repeated threats against the same target, vague regions, non-state groups, and economic or diplomatic pressure alone.

1

Threats of potentially prohibited conduct

1 entry · 1 observation
Calculation
Calculation

Sum distinct explicit threats whose described conduct is identified by a cited legal authority as potentially prohibited under the stated law-of-war rule.

Included

The exact threat, its target, the potentially applicable rule, and the legal source supporting that classification.

Excluded

Ordinary threats of force, uncited legal commentary, inferred intent, and any statement labeled a war crime without a stated legal basis.

3

Cross-border uses of force

3 entries · 3 observations
Calculation
Calculation

Sum one observation per distinct cross-border military operation or strike tied through cited authority to a Trump decision.

Included

The operation, date, location, authorizing link, target, and source record are identified.

Excluded

Domestic law-enforcement activity, exercises, covert-action rumors, duplicate strikes within one counted operation, and threats without action.

3

Documented civilian-harm incidents

1 entry · 1 observation
Calculation
Calculation

Sum distinct incidents with documented civilian death, injury, displacement, or destruction linked to a qualifying use of force.

Included

A dated incident, location, harm type, attribution standard, source, and uncertainty assessment.

Excluded

Combatant-only casualties, unverifiable social-media claims, duplicate incident reports, and projected rather than observed harm.

153

Documented civilian deaths

1 entry · 1 observation
Calculation
Calculation

Sum non-overlapping documented civilian-death observations using each source's stated minimum, confirmed count, or range method.

Included

People classified as civilians under a disclosed source methodology, with incident, period, and uncertainty recorded.

Excluded

Combatants, missing persons counted as dead, overlapping monitoring datasets, and unbounded estimates.

243

Documented civilian injuries

1 entry · 1 observation
Calculation
Calculation

Sum non-overlapping documented civilian-injury observations under a disclosed incident and population method.

Included

Civilians reported injured in a qualifying incident, with source, period, and uncertainty recorded.

Excluded

Combatants, psychological-harm estimates without a compatible population method, and duplicate monitoring reports.

Protected-object incidents

Not measured
Calculation
Calculation

Sum distinct incidents affecting an object whose claimed protected status is supported by a cited legal and factual record.

Included

Medical, cultural, religious, humanitarian, or other protected objects when the object's status and the incident are documented.

Excluded

Objects whose protected status is merely asserted, duplicate damage reports, and incidents without a Trump-linked decision path.

Public cost of force operations

Not measured
Calculation
Calculation

Sum non-overlapping observed public expenditures. Forecasts calculate low, central, and high scenarios separately for one stated horizon; scenarios are never added together.

Included

Appropriations, operations, replacement, veterans' care, interest, or other public costs with population, period, price basis, method, and uncertainty stated.

Excluded

Private losses presented as public cost, overlapping appropriations and outlays, incompatible price years, and projections without bounded scenarios.

04

Conflict accountability

Formal war-crime allegations

Not measured
Calculation
Calculation

Sum distinct written allegations made by a court, prosecutor, commission of inquiry, treaty body, or other identified competent authority.

Included

The alleged conduct, person or policy, issuing authority, legal basis, date, and procedural posture are recorded.

Excluded

Political rhetoric, general advocacy, analyst opinion, duplicate filings, and allegations of other international-law violations.

War-crime investigations

Not measured
Calculation
Calculation

Sum distinct formally opened investigations concerning alleged war-crime conduct; one investigation remains one regardless of investigative acts.

Included

A competent authority, opening action, subject matter, date, jurisdiction, and current status are documented.

Excluded

Preliminary commentary, advocacy requests, closed matters counted again on update, and investigations into different offenses.

War-crime charges

Not measured
Calculation
Calculation

Sum distinct formally filed war-crime counts, keeping people, cases, and counts separately identifiable in the source record.

Included

A charging instrument, named defendant, offense, court, date, and live disposition are recorded.

Excluded

Allegations without charges, sealed or rumored counts, non-war-crime charges, and duplicate amended pleadings.

Adjudicated war-crime findings

Not measured
Calculation
Calculation

Sum distinct final or currently operative adjudicated findings that the identified conduct constituted a war crime.

Included

The tribunal, legal finding, subject, disposition, decision date, and appellate status are recorded.

Excluded

Allegations, investigations, charges, nonbinding commentary, reversed findings, and findings about unrelated actors.

Adjudicated aggression findings

Not measured
Calculation
Calculation

Sum distinct final or currently operative adjudicated findings of aggression, kept separate from war-crime findings.

Included

A competent tribunal's finding, subject, legal basis, decision date, and appellate status are recorded.

Excluded

Political characterizations, threats, uses of force without an adjudicated finding, reversed findings, and war-crime findings counted again here.

05

Political and foreign influence

Foreign-policy-linked U.S. campaign spending

Not measured
Calculation
Calculation

Sum non-overlapping disclosed U.S. campaign spending supporting Trump-endorsed candidates.

Included

Reported contributions or independent expenditures by U.S. political groups whose stated mission centers on foreign policy.

Excluded

Foreign aid, foreign-government funds, unsupported attribution, and spending already included through another reporting vehicle.

$7.9M

Foreign-state-linked benefits

1 entry · 1 observation
Calculation
Calculation

Sum documented value received by Trump-related people or entities, with non-cash benefits valued by a disclosed method.

Included

Payments, gifts, services, property, or other value with a sourced foreign-government or state-linked counterparty.

Excluded

Unverified allegations, ordinary market activity without a documented state link, and benefits to unrelated parties.

Seized foreign assets with unresolved disposition

Not measured
Calculation
Calculation

Sum the best supported valuation of distinct seized assets whose final custody or proceeds are not publicly accounted for.

Included

Assets or proceeds connected through a cited Trump-administration action, with seizure and disposition status recorded.

Excluded

Assets returned or fully accounted for, duplicate valuations, and property without a documented administration link.

Selected measure

Seized foreign assets with unresolved disposition

Close
Not measured.
Calculation
Sum the best supported valuation of distinct seized assets whose final custody or proceeds are not publicly accounted for.
Included
Assets or proceeds connected through a cited Trump-administration action, with seizure and disposition status recorded.
Excluded
Assets returned or fully accounted for, duplicate valuations, and property without a documented administration link.
Open matching ledger entries
06

Business and charity

Trump-linked business bankruptcy filings

Not measured
Calculation
Calculation

Sum one observation per distinct bankruptcy filing by a qualifying Trump-linked legal entity.

Included

Court-documented filings by businesses with a sourced ownership or control connection to Trump.

Excluded

Personal bankruptcies, creditor bankruptcies, and multiple docket events within the same filing.

Charitable funds found misused

Not measured
Calculation
Calculation

Sum distinct amounts that a court or regulator found were improperly used, without adding overlapping penalties.

Included

Amounts identified in final court or regulator findings involving a Trump-linked charity.

Excluded

Allegations, lawful grants, and penalties already represented in the underlying misused amount.

Penalties, restitution, and settlements

Not measured
Calculation
Calculation

Sum distinct payable amounts from cited judgments, orders, restitution awards, or settlements.

Included

Amounts payable by Trump or a Trump-linked entity with status and correction history recorded.

Excluded

Claimed damages, duplicative joint liabilities, reversed awards, and interest not included in the cited total.

07

Crypto exposure

Token drawdown from peak

Not measured
Calculation
Calculation

Calculate peak-to-observation decline as (peak price minus observed price) divided by peak price.

Included

A named Trump-linked token, a reproducible price source, peak timestamp, observation timestamp, and currency pair.

Excluded

Intraday claims without timestamps, unrelated tokens, and drawdown presented as aggregate holder loss.

Wallets below estimated acquisition cost

Not measured
Calculation
Calculation

Use the latest chain-analysis count of wallets whose marked value is below estimated acquisition cost.

Included

Wallet cohort, cost-basis method, token balances, pricing timestamp, and treatment of transfers are disclosed.

Excluded

Exchange omnibus wallets, wallets without defensible cost basis, and the same wallet counted across linked addresses.

Estimated holder losses

Not measured
Calculation
Calculation

Use the latest cohort estimate of marked or realized losses, keeping those two loss types separate.

Included

A defined wallet population, acquisition-cost method, observation date, price source, and uncertainty range.

Excluded

Market-cap decline presented as investor loss, issuer-held supply, and wallets without attributable acquisition cost.

Issuer and insider proceeds

Not measured
Calculation
Calculation

Sum distinct documented realized proceeds, fees, or transfers to identified issuer or insider recipients.

Included

On-chain or financial-record proceeds tied to a named Trump-linked crypto venture and recipient.

Excluded

Token market value, unrealized holdings, anonymous recipients, and transfers already counted as sale proceeds.