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Donald J.
Trump

Open person file

America First Audit

America First was the pitch. The cases below are dated, sourced and matched to who actually paid.

Open the audit Economic indicators below

254 dated cases to

Latest in the chronology

  1. Trump clemency advocacy: six-figure fees, DOJ routing and investigations
  2. Trump installs a donor's wife as his board remakes and shutters the Kennedy Center
  3. Kraft family: Trump access, dropped charges, board power and corporate sanctions

Follow the money

  1. What the public paid

    $763.9M

    Documented public costs and federal contract awards from the reviewed actions.

    Projected, not yet spent$4.2TProjected deficit increase through 2034 · central scenario · through 2034-12-31
    1. Reported public costs of reviewed activities$543,865,869
    2. Reported DHS advertising contract awards$220,000,000
    How this total is built
    Calculation
    Add the two measures below. Each is already a subtotal of non-overlapping sourced observations in one currency.
    Included
    Documented federal, state, local or household costs attributable to identified presidential actions, plus the face value of the reported DHS advertising awards.
    Excluded
    Every force and conflict estimate, because those are competing models of the same campaigns rather than separate spending: the Pentagon and MilitarySpend Iran figures measure one operation, the Yemen range is two endpoints of one estimate, and the regional total spans two administrations. Also excludes projections, agency payments to Trump properties, which are counted in the other roll-up, and any measure that is not a dated observation in USD.
  2. What reached Trump's businesses

    $1.8B

    Income disclosed by Trump-linked entities for 2025, plus public money paid to Trump properties.

    1. Overseas property licensing income, 2025$59,518,109As of 2026-06-30
    2. Revenue at five U.S. properties, 2025$307,105,604As of 2026-06-30
    3. Disclosed crypto business income, 2025$1,424,379,156As of 2026-06-30
    How this total is built
    Calculation
    Add the three disclosed 2025 income measures below. The 2026 disclosure enumerates each entity once, so the three entity sets do not overlap.
    Included
    Reported 2025 income at the identified overseas licensing entities, the five named domestic properties, and the Trump-linked crypto entities.
    Excluded
    Asset values, unrealized appreciation, personal after-tax profit, and earlier annual snapshots. U.S. agency payments to Trump properties are reported separately below rather than added, because the reviewed payment sample may already sit inside the disclosed property revenue.

Presidential corruption ranking

Every administration since Eisenhower, scored out of 100. The black mark counts only what was proven — convictions, court rulings, inspector-general findings. The full score adds documented reporting. Scored by The Leah Files.

Presidential corruption ranking. 14 subjects, highest 76 score out of 100. Exact counts are in the table below.
  1. 76Fulton County Sheriff's Office booking photograph of Donald Trump.Trump II2025-
  2. 53Fulton County Sheriff's Office booking photograph of Donald Trump.Trump I2017-21
  3. 41Official presidential portrait of Nixon.Nixon1969-74
  4. 23Official presidential portrait of Bush 43.Bush 432001-09
  5. 22Official presidential portrait of Clinton.Clinton1993-2001
  6. 21Official presidential portrait of Reagan.Reagan1981-89
  7. 17Official presidential portrait of Johnson.Johnson1963-69
  8. 13Official presidential portrait of Bush 41.Bush 411989-93
  9. 10Official presidential portrait of Kennedy.Kennedy1961-63
  10. 8Official presidential portrait of Biden.Biden2021-25
  11. 8Official presidential portrait of Obama.Obama2009-17
  12. 6Official presidential portrait of Eisenhower.Eisenhower1953-61
  13. 2Official presidential portrait of Carter.Carter1977-81
  14. 2Official presidential portrait of Ford.Ford1974-77
  • Score out of 100
  • Proven only
Exact counts
Presidential corruption ranking
SubjectScore out of 100Proven only
Trump II7669
Trump I53Not measured
Nixon41Not measured
Bush 4323Not measured
Clinton22Not measured
Reagan21Not measured
Johnson17Not measured
Bush 4113Not measured
Kennedy10Not measured
Biden8Not measured
Obama8Not measured
Eisenhower6Not measured
Carter2Not measured
Ford2Not measured

Economic
conditions

He promised lower prices and cheaper borrowing. These are the published series.

America First Audit

Red shading marks the stretch where a series moved the wrong way for the people it measures, against the baseline you choose.

Dates and comparisons

Comparisons use the last observation through each preceding December, not Inauguration Day. Latest dates vary by series. Historical values reflect the retrieved data, including revisions. Period comparisons do not establish causation.

Real weekly earnings

1982–84 dollars
378
Real weekly earnings, 2016-03-31 to 2026-06-30. Selected: 378 on 2026-06-30. Exact values and evidence links are in the table below. Vertical axis does not start at zero.345369393201620202024

+4 1982–84 dollars from 374 on 2024-12-31

Median weekly pay adjusted for consumer prices. Higher values mean greater purchasing power for the median full-time worker.

Data, source & calculation

Original source observation, dated at period end. Source retrieval: 2026-10-12.

Seasonally adjusted. Changes in who is employed can change the median, particularly during the pandemic. Excludes self-employed workers.

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED

Real weekly earnings: published observations
Period end / date1982–84 dollarsEvidence
346Read record for 2016-03-31
345Read record for 2016-06-30
347Read record for 2016-09-30
349Read record for 2016-12-31
352Read record for 2017-03-31
354Read record for 2017-06-30
352Read record for 2017-09-30
345Read record for 2017-12-31
351Read record for 2018-03-31
351Read record for 2018-06-30
354Read record for 2018-09-30
355Read record for 2018-12-31
355Read record for 2019-03-31
358Read record for 2019-06-30
360Read record for 2019-09-30
362Read record for 2019-12-31
367Read record for 2020-03-31
393Read record for 2020-06-30
384Read record for 2020-09-30
376Read record for 2020-12-31
373Read record for 2021-03-31
371Read record for 2021-06-30
367Read record for 2021-09-30
361Read record for 2021-12-31
363Read record for 2022-03-31
359Read record for 2022-06-30
362Read record for 2022-09-30
362Read record for 2022-12-31
364Read record for 2023-03-31
365Read record for 2023-06-30
366Read record for 2023-09-30
369Read record for 2023-12-31
365Read record for 2024-03-31
368Read record for 2024-06-30
371Read record for 2024-09-30
374Read record for 2024-12-31
373Read record for 2025-03-31
376Read record for 2025-06-30
376Read record for 2025-09-30
376Read record for 2026-03-31
378Read record for 2026-06-30

30-year mortgage rate

%
7.4%
30-year mortgage rate, 2016-01-28 to 2026-10-08. Selected: 7.4% on 2026-10-08. Exact values and evidence links are in the table below. Vertical axis does not start at zero.2.75.27.8201620202024

+0.55 percentage points from 6.85% on 2024-12-26

The financing rate for a new fixed-rate mortgage, not the rate paid by every existing homeowner.

Data, source & calculation

Last available observation in each calendar month, including the latest partial month; not a monthly average. Source retrieval: 2026-10-12.

Not seasonally adjusted. Freddie Mac changed its survey methodology on November 17, 2022. Housing affordability also depends on prices, income, taxes and insurance.

Freddie Mac via FRED

30-year mortgage rate: published observations
Period end / date%Evidence
3.79%Read record for 2016-01-28
3.62%Read record for 2016-02-25
3.71%Read record for 2016-03-31
3.66%Read record for 2016-04-28
3.64%Read record for 2016-05-26
3.48%Read record for 2016-06-30
3.48%Read record for 2016-07-28
3.43%Read record for 2016-08-25
3.42%Read record for 2016-09-29
3.47%Read record for 2016-10-27
4.03%Read record for 2016-11-23
4.32%Read record for 2016-12-29
4.19%Read record for 2017-01-26
4.16%Read record for 2017-02-23
4.14%Read record for 2017-03-30
4.03%Read record for 2017-04-27
3.95%Read record for 2017-05-25
3.88%Read record for 2017-06-29
3.92%Read record for 2017-07-27
3.82%Read record for 2017-08-31
3.83%Read record for 2017-09-28
3.94%Read record for 2017-10-26
3.9%Read record for 2017-11-30
3.99%Read record for 2017-12-28
4.15%Read record for 2018-01-25
4.4%Read record for 2018-02-22
4.44%Read record for 2018-03-29
4.58%Read record for 2018-04-26
4.56%Read record for 2018-05-31
4.55%Read record for 2018-06-28
4.54%Read record for 2018-07-26
4.52%Read record for 2018-08-30
4.72%Read record for 2018-09-27
4.86%Read record for 2018-10-25
4.81%Read record for 2018-11-29
4.55%Read record for 2018-12-27
4.46%Read record for 2019-01-31
4.35%Read record for 2019-02-28
4.06%Read record for 2019-03-28
4.2%Read record for 2019-04-25
3.99%Read record for 2019-05-30
3.73%Read record for 2019-06-27
3.75%Read record for 2019-07-25
3.58%Read record for 2019-08-29
3.64%Read record for 2019-09-26
3.78%Read record for 2019-10-31
3.68%Read record for 2019-11-27
3.74%Read record for 2019-12-26
3.51%Read record for 2020-01-30
3.45%Read record for 2020-02-27
3.5%Read record for 2020-03-26
3.23%Read record for 2020-04-30
3.15%Read record for 2020-05-28
3.13%Read record for 2020-06-25
2.99%Read record for 2020-07-30
2.91%Read record for 2020-08-27
2.9%Read record for 2020-09-24
2.81%Read record for 2020-10-29
2.72%Read record for 2020-11-25
2.67%Read record for 2020-12-31
2.73%Read record for 2021-01-28
2.97%Read record for 2021-02-25
3.17%Read record for 2021-03-25
2.98%Read record for 2021-04-29
2.95%Read record for 2021-05-27
3.02%Read record for 2021-06-24
2.8%Read record for 2021-07-29
2.87%Read record for 2021-08-26
3.01%Read record for 2021-09-30
3.14%Read record for 2021-10-28
3.1%Read record for 2021-11-24
3.11%Read record for 2021-12-30
3.55%Read record for 2022-01-27
3.89%Read record for 2022-02-24
4.67%Read record for 2022-03-31
5.1%Read record for 2022-04-28
5.1%Read record for 2022-05-26
5.7%Read record for 2022-06-30
5.3%Read record for 2022-07-28
5.55%Read record for 2022-08-25
6.7%Read record for 2022-09-29
7.08%Read record for 2022-10-27
6.58%Read record for 2022-11-23
6.42%Read record for 2022-12-29
6.13%Read record for 2023-01-26
6.5%Read record for 2023-02-23
6.32%Read record for 2023-03-30
6.43%Read record for 2023-04-27
6.57%Read record for 2023-05-25
6.71%Read record for 2023-06-29
6.81%Read record for 2023-07-27
7.18%Read record for 2023-08-31
7.31%Read record for 2023-09-28
7.79%Read record for 2023-10-26
7.22%Read record for 2023-11-30
6.61%Read record for 2023-12-28
6.69%Read record for 2024-01-25
6.94%Read record for 2024-02-29
6.79%Read record for 2024-03-28
7.17%Read record for 2024-04-25
7.03%Read record for 2024-05-30
6.86%Read record for 2024-06-27
6.78%Read record for 2024-07-25
6.35%Read record for 2024-08-29
6.08%Read record for 2024-09-26
6.72%Read record for 2024-10-31
6.81%Read record for 2024-11-27
6.85%Read record for 2024-12-26
6.95%Read record for 2025-01-30
6.76%Read record for 2025-02-27
6.65%Read record for 2025-03-27
6.81%Read record for 2025-04-24
6.89%Read record for 2025-05-29
6.77%Read record for 2025-06-26
6.72%Read record for 2025-07-31
6.56%Read record for 2025-08-28
6.3%Read record for 2025-09-25
6.17%Read record for 2025-10-30
6.23%Read record for 2025-11-26
6.15%Read record for 2025-12-31
6.1%Read record for 2026-01-29
5.98%Read record for 2026-02-26
6.38%Read record for 2026-03-26
6.3%Read record for 2026-04-30
6.53%Read record for 2026-05-28
6.49%Read record for 2026-06-25
6.66%Read record for 2026-07-30
6.66%Read record for 2026-08-27
6.71%Read record for 2026-09-03
6.76%Read record for 2026-09-10
6.95%Read record for 2026-09-17
7.03%Read record for 2026-09-24
7.4%Read record for 2026-10-08

Credit-card delinquency

%
2.85%
Credit-card delinquency, 2016-03-31 to 2026-06-30. Selected: 2.85% on 2026-06-30. Exact values and evidence links are in the table below. Vertical axis does not start at zero.1.52.43.2201620202024

-0.23 percentage points from 3.08% on 2024-12-31

The share of bank credit-card loans that are delinquent, not the share of people behind on payments.

Data, source & calculation

Original source observation, dated at period end. Source retrieval: 2026-10-12.

Seasonally adjusted, end of period. This bank-loan series is not interchangeable with consumer-credit-panel delinquency rates.

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System via FRED

Credit-card delinquency: published observations
Period end / date%Evidence
2.15%Read record for 2016-03-31
2.21%Read record for 2016-06-30
2.29%Read record for 2016-09-30
2.37%Read record for 2016-12-31
2.4%Read record for 2017-03-31
2.49%Read record for 2017-06-30
2.54%Read record for 2017-09-30
2.48%Read record for 2017-12-31
2.5%Read record for 2018-03-31
2.5%Read record for 2018-06-30
2.52%Read record for 2018-09-30
2.54%Read record for 2018-12-31
2.54%Read record for 2019-03-31
2.59%Read record for 2019-06-30
2.6%Read record for 2019-09-30
2.61%Read record for 2019-12-31
2.69%Read record for 2020-03-31
2.45%Read record for 2020-06-30
1.99%Read record for 2020-09-30
2.1%Read record for 2020-12-31
1.88%Read record for 2021-03-31
1.59%Read record for 2021-06-30
1.53%Read record for 2021-09-30
1.57%Read record for 2021-12-31
1.69%Read record for 2022-03-31
1.83%Read record for 2022-06-30
2.05%Read record for 2022-09-30
2.26%Read record for 2022-12-31
2.47%Read record for 2023-03-31
2.75%Read record for 2023-06-30
2.95%Read record for 2023-09-30
3.1%Read record for 2023-12-31
3.17%Read record for 2024-03-31
3.22%Read record for 2024-06-30
3.2%Read record for 2024-09-30
3.08%Read record for 2024-12-31
3.05%Read record for 2025-03-31
3.04%Read record for 2025-06-30
2.99%Read record for 2025-09-30
2.95%Read record for 2025-12-31
2.91%Read record for 2026-03-31
2.85%Read record for 2026-06-30

Unemployment rate

%
4.2%
Unemployment rate, 2016-01-31 to 2026-09-30. Selected: 4.2% on 2026-09-30. Exact values and evidence links are in the table below. Vertical axis does not start at zero.3.49.114.8201620202024

+0.1 percentage points from 4.1% on 2024-12-31

People without work who are in the labor force. People outside the labor force are not counted as unemployed.

Data, source & calculation

Original source observation, dated at period end. Source retrieval: 2026-10-12.

Seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment. Does not measure involuntary part-time work or everyone who has stopped looking for a job.

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED

Unemployment rate: published observations
Period end / date%Evidence
4.8%Read record for 2016-01-31
4.9%Read record for 2016-02-29
5%Read record for 2016-03-31
5.1%Read record for 2016-04-30
4.8%Read record for 2016-05-31
4.9%Read record for 2016-06-30
4.8%Read record for 2016-07-31
4.9%Read record for 2016-08-31
5%Read record for 2016-09-30
4.9%Read record for 2016-10-31
4.7%Read record for 2016-11-30
4.7%Read record for 2016-12-31
4.7%Read record for 2017-01-31
4.6%Read record for 2017-02-28
4.4%Read record for 2017-03-31
4.4%Read record for 2017-04-30
4.4%Read record for 2017-05-31
4.3%Read record for 2017-06-30
4.3%Read record for 2017-07-31
4.4%Read record for 2017-08-31
4.3%Read record for 2017-09-30
4.2%Read record for 2017-10-31
4.2%Read record for 2017-11-30
4.1%Read record for 2017-12-31
4%Read record for 2018-01-31
4.1%Read record for 2018-02-28
4%Read record for 2018-03-31
4%Read record for 2018-04-30
3.8%Read record for 2018-05-31
4%Read record for 2018-06-30
3.8%Read record for 2018-07-31
3.8%Read record for 2018-08-31
3.7%Read record for 2018-09-30
3.8%Read record for 2018-10-31
3.8%Read record for 2018-11-30
3.9%Read record for 2018-12-31
4%Read record for 2019-01-31
3.8%Read record for 2019-02-28
3.8%Read record for 2019-03-31
3.7%Read record for 2019-04-30
3.6%Read record for 2019-05-31
3.6%Read record for 2019-06-30
3.7%Read record for 2019-07-31
3.6%Read record for 2019-08-31
3.5%Read record for 2019-09-30
3.6%Read record for 2019-10-31
3.6%Read record for 2019-11-30
3.6%Read record for 2019-12-31
3.6%Read record for 2020-01-31
3.5%Read record for 2020-02-29
4.4%Read record for 2020-03-31
14.8%Read record for 2020-04-30
13.2%Read record for 2020-05-31
11%Read record for 2020-06-30
10.2%Read record for 2020-07-31
8.4%Read record for 2020-08-31
7.8%Read record for 2020-09-30
6.9%Read record for 2020-10-31
6.7%Read record for 2020-11-30
6.7%Read record for 2020-12-31
6.4%Read record for 2021-01-31
6.2%Read record for 2021-02-28
6.1%Read record for 2021-03-31
6.1%Read record for 2021-04-30
5.8%Read record for 2021-05-31
5.9%Read record for 2021-06-30
5.4%Read record for 2021-07-31
5.1%Read record for 2021-08-31
4.7%Read record for 2021-09-30
4.5%Read record for 2021-10-31
4.1%Read record for 2021-11-30
3.9%Read record for 2021-12-31
4%Read record for 2022-01-31
3.9%Read record for 2022-02-28
3.7%Read record for 2022-03-31
3.7%Read record for 2022-04-30
3.6%Read record for 2022-05-31
3.6%Read record for 2022-06-30
3.5%Read record for 2022-07-31
3.6%Read record for 2022-08-31
3.5%Read record for 2022-09-30
3.6%Read record for 2022-10-31
3.6%Read record for 2022-11-30
3.5%Read record for 2022-12-31
3.5%Read record for 2023-01-31
3.6%Read record for 2023-02-28
3.5%Read record for 2023-03-31
3.4%Read record for 2023-04-30
3.6%Read record for 2023-05-31
3.6%Read record for 2023-06-30
3.5%Read record for 2023-07-31
3.7%Read record for 2023-08-31
3.7%Read record for 2023-09-30
3.9%Read record for 2023-10-31
3.7%Read record for 2023-11-30
3.8%Read record for 2023-12-31
3.7%Read record for 2024-01-31
3.9%Read record for 2024-02-29
3.9%Read record for 2024-03-31
3.9%Read record for 2024-04-30
3.9%Read record for 2024-05-31
4.1%Read record for 2024-06-30
4.2%Read record for 2024-07-31
4.2%Read record for 2024-08-31
4.1%Read record for 2024-09-30
4.1%Read record for 2024-10-31
4.2%Read record for 2024-11-30
4.1%Read record for 2024-12-31
4%Read record for 2025-01-31
4.2%Read record for 2025-02-28
4.2%Read record for 2025-03-31
4.2%Read record for 2025-04-30
4.3%Read record for 2025-05-31
4.1%Read record for 2025-06-30
4.3%Read record for 2025-07-31
4.3%Read record for 2025-08-31
4.4%Read record for 2025-09-30
4.5%Read record for 2025-11-30
4.4%Read record for 2025-12-31
4.3%Read record for 2026-01-31
4.4%Read record for 2026-02-28
4.3%Read record for 2026-03-31
4.3%Read record for 2026-04-30
4.3%Read record for 2026-05-31
4.2%Read record for 2026-06-30
4.1%Read record for 2026-07-31
4.1%Read record for 2026-08-31
4.2%Read record for 2026-09-30

Consumer price level

Index 1982–84 = 100
334.13
Consumer price level, 2016-01-31 to 2026-08-31. Selected: 334.13 on 2026-08-31. Exact values and evidence links are in the table below. Vertical axis does not start at zero.237.3285.7334.1201620202024

+16.53 Index 1982–84 = 100 from 317.6 on 2024-12-31

The price level keeps accumulated increases visible even when inflation slows. Compare this with inflation-adjusted earnings, not nominal pay.

Data, source & calculation

Original source observation, dated at period end. Source retrieval: 2026-10-12.

Seasonally adjusted all-items CPI. A slower increase does not mean prices have returned to earlier levels.

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED

Consumer price level: published observations
Period end / dateIndex 1982–84 = 100Evidence
237.65Read record for 2016-01-31
237.34Read record for 2016-02-29
238.08Read record for 2016-03-31
238.99Read record for 2016-04-30
239.56Read record for 2016-05-31
240.22Read record for 2016-06-30
240.1Read record for 2016-07-31
240.55Read record for 2016-08-31
241.18Read record for 2016-09-30
241.74Read record for 2016-10-31
242.03Read record for 2016-11-30
242.64Read record for 2016-12-31
243.62Read record for 2017-01-31
244.01Read record for 2017-02-28
243.89Read record for 2017-03-31
244.19Read record for 2017-04-30
244Read record for 2017-05-31
244.16Read record for 2017-06-30
244.24Read record for 2017-07-31
245.18Read record for 2017-08-31
246.44Read record for 2017-09-30
246.63Read record for 2017-10-31
247.28Read record for 2017-11-30
247.81Read record for 2017-12-31
248.86Read record for 2018-01-31
249.53Read record for 2018-02-28
249.58Read record for 2018-03-31
250.23Read record for 2018-04-30
250.79Read record for 2018-05-31
251.02Read record for 2018-06-30
251.21Read record for 2018-07-31
251.66Read record for 2018-08-31
252.18Read record for 2018-09-30
252.77Read record for 2018-10-31
252.59Read record for 2018-11-30
252.77Read record for 2018-12-31
252.56Read record for 2019-01-31
253.32Read record for 2019-02-28
254.28Read record for 2019-03-31
255.23Read record for 2019-04-30
255.3Read record for 2019-05-31
255.21Read record for 2019-06-30
255.8Read record for 2019-07-31
256.04Read record for 2019-08-31
256.43Read record for 2019-09-30
257.16Read record for 2019-10-31
257.88Read record for 2019-11-30
258.63Read record for 2019-12-31
259.13Read record for 2020-01-31
259.25Read record for 2020-02-29
258.08Read record for 2020-03-31
256.03Read record for 2020-04-30
255.8Read record for 2020-05-31
257.04Read record for 2020-06-30
258.35Read record for 2020-07-31
259.32Read record for 2020-08-31
260Read record for 2020-09-30
260.32Read record for 2020-10-31
260.91Read record for 2020-11-30
262.05Read record for 2020-12-31
262.69Read record for 2021-01-31
263.58Read record for 2021-02-28
264.96Read record for 2021-03-31
266.61Read record for 2021-04-30
268.38Read record for 2021-05-31
270.65Read record for 2021-06-30
271.9Read record for 2021-07-31
272.68Read record for 2021-08-31
273.91Read record for 2021-09-30
276.55Read record for 2021-10-31
278.92Read record for 2021-11-30
280.85Read record for 2021-12-31
282.54Read record for 2022-01-31
284.5Read record for 2022-02-28
287.67Read record for 2022-03-31
288.56Read record for 2022-04-30
291.3Read record for 2022-05-31
294.96Read record for 2022-06-30
294.91Read record for 2022-07-31
295.1Read record for 2022-08-31
296.35Read record for 2022-09-30
298.01Read record for 2022-10-31
298.79Read record for 2022-11-30
298.83Read record for 2022-12-31
300.42Read record for 2023-01-31
301.45Read record for 2023-02-28
301.82Read record for 2023-03-31
302.85Read record for 2023-04-30
303.33Read record for 2023-05-31
304.01Read record for 2023-06-30
304.61Read record for 2023-07-31
306.08Read record for 2023-08-31
307.28Read record for 2023-09-30
307.7Read record for 2023-10-31
308.15Read record for 2023-11-30
308.74Read record for 2023-12-31
309.7Read record for 2024-01-31
310.97Read record for 2024-02-29
312.35Read record for 2024-03-31
313.02Read record for 2024-04-30
313.18Read record for 2024-05-31
313.04Read record for 2024-06-30
313.57Read record for 2024-07-31
314.06Read record for 2024-08-31
314.73Read record for 2024-09-30
315.63Read record for 2024-10-31
316.53Read record for 2024-11-30
317.6Read record for 2024-12-31
318.96Read record for 2025-01-31
319.68Read record for 2025-02-28
319.79Read record for 2025-03-31
320.3Read record for 2025-04-30
320.62Read record for 2025-05-31
321.44Read record for 2025-06-30
322.17Read record for 2025-07-31
323.29Read record for 2025-08-31
324.25Read record for 2025-09-30
325.06Read record for 2025-11-30
326.03Read record for 2025-12-31
326.59Read record for 2026-01-31
327.46Read record for 2026-02-28
330.29Read record for 2026-03-31
332.41Read record for 2026-04-30
333.98Read record for 2026-05-31
332.57Read record for 2026-06-30
332.81Read record for 2026-07-31
334.13Read record for 2026-08-31

PCE inflation

%
3.42%
PCE inflation, 2016-01-31 to 2026-08-31. Selected: 3.42% on 2026-08-31. Exact values and evidence links are in the table below. Vertical axis does not start at zero.0.53.87.2201620202024

+0.77 percentage points from 2.65% on 2024-12-31

Change in consumer prices over twelve months. The Federal Reserve's longer-run inflation objective applies to this measure.

Federal Reserve longer-run objective: 2%

Data, source & calculation

100 × (current price index / index twelve months earlier − 1). Source retrieval: 2026-10-12.

Calculated from seasonally adjusted PCE price indexes. A longer-run target is not a month-by-month guarantee or a household-specific cost measure.

U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis via FRED

PCE inflation: published observations
Period end / date%Evidence
0.87%Read record for 2016-01-31
0.64%Read record for 2016-02-29
0.69%Read record for 2016-03-31
0.93%Read record for 2016-04-30
0.85%Read record for 2016-05-31
0.83%Read record for 2016-06-30
0.76%Read record for 2016-07-31
0.89%Read record for 2016-08-31
1.22%Read record for 2016-09-30
1.43%Read record for 2016-10-31
1.4%Read record for 2016-11-30
1.66%Read record for 2016-12-31
2.01%Read record for 2017-01-31
2.2%Read record for 2017-02-28
1.91%Read record for 2017-03-31
1.77%Read record for 2017-04-30
1.56%Read record for 2017-05-31
1.47%Read record for 2017-06-30
1.49%Read record for 2017-07-31
1.57%Read record for 2017-08-31
1.76%Read record for 2017-09-30
1.68%Read record for 2017-10-31
1.79%Read record for 2017-11-30
1.77%Read record for 2017-12-31
1.76%Read record for 2018-01-31
1.84%Read record for 2018-02-28
2%Read record for 2018-03-31
2.05%Read record for 2018-04-30
2.27%Read record for 2018-05-31
2.27%Read record for 2018-06-30
2.34%Read record for 2018-07-31
2.18%Read record for 2018-08-31
2.01%Read record for 2018-09-30
2.05%Read record for 2018-10-31
1.94%Read record for 2018-11-30
1.86%Read record for 2018-12-31
1.43%Read record for 2019-01-31
1.4%Read record for 2019-02-28
1.52%Read record for 2019-03-31
1.57%Read record for 2019-04-30
1.47%Read record for 2019-05-31
1.43%Read record for 2019-06-30
1.45%Read record for 2019-07-31
1.43%Read record for 2019-08-31
1.28%Read record for 2019-09-30
1.29%Read record for 2019-10-31
1.36%Read record for 2019-11-30
1.56%Read record for 2019-12-31
1.79%Read record for 2020-01-31
1.69%Read record for 2020-02-29
1.17%Read record for 2020-03-31
0.46%Read record for 2020-04-30
0.49%Read record for 2020-05-31
0.76%Read record for 2020-06-30
0.92%Read record for 2020-07-31
1.16%Read record for 2020-08-31
1.28%Read record for 2020-09-30
1.19%Read record for 2020-10-31
1.19%Read record for 2020-11-30
1.33%Read record for 2020-12-31
1.51%Read record for 2021-01-31
1.79%Read record for 2021-02-28
2.64%Read record for 2021-03-31
3.58%Read record for 2021-04-30
3.97%Read record for 2021-05-31
4.22%Read record for 2021-06-30
4.38%Read record for 2021-07-31
4.51%Read record for 2021-08-31
4.66%Read record for 2021-09-30
5.28%Read record for 2021-10-31
5.87%Read record for 2021-11-30
6.04%Read record for 2021-12-31
6.23%Read record for 2022-01-31
6.51%Read record for 2022-02-28
6.92%Read record for 2022-03-31
6.63%Read record for 2022-04-30
6.78%Read record for 2022-05-31
7.22%Read record for 2022-06-30
6.86%Read record for 2022-07-31
6.68%Read record for 2022-08-31
6.69%Read record for 2022-09-30
6.51%Read record for 2022-10-31
6.09%Read record for 2022-11-30
5.61%Read record for 2022-12-31
5.56%Read record for 2023-01-31
5.2%Read record for 2023-02-28
4.49%Read record for 2023-03-31
4.53%Read record for 2023-04-30
4.1%Read record for 2023-05-31
3.35%Read record for 2023-06-30
3.36%Read record for 2023-07-31
3.44%Read record for 2023-08-31
3.49%Read record for 2023-09-30
3.1%Read record for 2023-10-31
2.89%Read record for 2023-11-30
2.86%Read record for 2023-12-31
2.75%Read record for 2024-01-31
2.81%Read record for 2024-02-29
2.95%Read record for 2024-03-31
2.84%Read record for 2024-04-30
2.7%Read record for 2024-05-31
2.57%Read record for 2024-06-30
2.6%Read record for 2024-07-31
2.44%Read record for 2024-08-31
2.26%Read record for 2024-09-30
2.41%Read record for 2024-10-31
2.49%Read record for 2024-11-30
2.65%Read record for 2024-12-31
2.63%Read record for 2025-01-31
2.57%Read record for 2025-02-28
2.26%Read record for 2025-03-31
2.33%Read record for 2025-04-30
2.46%Read record for 2025-05-31
2.61%Read record for 2025-06-30
2.59%Read record for 2025-07-31
2.69%Read record for 2025-08-31
2.78%Read record for 2025-09-30
2.66%Read record for 2025-10-31
2.71%Read record for 2025-11-30
2.78%Read record for 2025-12-31
2.73%Read record for 2026-01-31
2.8%Read record for 2026-02-28
3.37%Read record for 2026-03-31
3.57%Read record for 2026-04-30
3.82%Read record for 2026-05-31
3.45%Read record for 2026-06-30
3.36%Read record for 2026-07-31
3.42%Read record for 2026-08-31

Homebuying affordability

Index
104.7
Homebuying affordability, 2025-08-31 to 2026-08-31. Selected: 104.7 on 2026-08-31. Exact values and evidence links are in the table below. Vertical axis does not start at zero.100108.3116.5201620202024

At 100, a median-income family has exactly the income needed to qualify under the source's mortgage assumptions. Lower values mean less buying capacity.

Income required to qualify under NAR assumptions: 100

Data, source & calculation

Original source observation, dated at period end. Source retrieval: 2026-10-12.

Assumes a 20% down payment. FRED carries only thirteen months under its source agreement, so earlier checkpoints are unavailable. Not seasonally adjusted.

National Association of Realtors via FRED

Homebuying affordability: published observations
Period end / dateIndexEvidence
101.2Read record for 2025-08-31
106.7Read record for 2025-09-30
107.1Read record for 2025-10-31
108.7Read record for 2025-11-30
111Read record for 2025-12-31
116.5Read record for 2026-01-31
116.1Read record for 2026-02-28
112Read record for 2026-03-31
108Read record for 2026-04-30
105.1Read record for 2026-05-31
101.8Read record for 2026-06-30
102.8Read record for 2026-07-31
104.7Read record for 2026-08-31

Mortgage payment burden

%
5.83%
Mortgage payment burden, 2016-03-31 to 2026-06-30. Selected: 5.83% on 2026-06-30. Exact values and evidence links are in the table below. Vertical axis does not start at zero.4.85.46.1201620202024

+0.14 percentage points from 5.69% on 2024-12-31

Required mortgage payments as a share of disposable income. Existing fixed-rate loans make this different from the cost facing a new buyer.

Data, source & calculation

Original source observation, dated at period end. Source retrieval: 2026-10-12.

Seasonally adjusted aggregate ratio, not the median homeowner's payment or a first-time buyer's affordability measure.

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System via FRED

Mortgage payment burden: published observations
Period end / date%Evidence
6.09%Read record for 2016-03-31
6.07%Read record for 2016-06-30
5.99%Read record for 2016-09-30
5.99%Read record for 2016-12-31
5.98%Read record for 2017-03-31
5.97%Read record for 2017-06-30
5.98%Read record for 2017-09-30
5.94%Read record for 2017-12-31
5.92%Read record for 2018-03-31
5.88%Read record for 2018-06-30
5.91%Read record for 2018-09-30
5.92%Read record for 2018-12-31
5.84%Read record for 2019-03-31
5.93%Read record for 2019-06-30
5.9%Read record for 2019-09-30
5.92%Read record for 2019-12-31
5.92%Read record for 2020-03-31
5.03%Read record for 2020-06-30
5.22%Read record for 2020-09-30
5.4%Read record for 2020-12-31
4.76%Read record for 2021-03-31
5.2%Read record for 2021-06-30
5.29%Read record for 2021-09-30
5.43%Read record for 2021-12-31
5.63%Read record for 2022-03-31
5.69%Read record for 2022-06-30
5.58%Read record for 2022-09-30
5.62%Read record for 2022-12-31
5.58%Read record for 2023-03-31
5.54%Read record for 2023-06-30
5.62%Read record for 2023-09-30
5.64%Read record for 2023-12-31
5.66%Read record for 2024-03-31
5.7%Read record for 2024-06-30
5.74%Read record for 2024-09-30
5.69%Read record for 2024-12-31
5.76%Read record for 2025-03-31
5.83%Read record for 2025-06-30
5.87%Read record for 2025-09-30
5.92%Read record for 2025-12-31
5.87%Read record for 2026-03-31
5.83%Read record for 2026-06-30

People in
the record

Open people files
  1. Robert Kraft
  2. Dana Blumberg Kraft
  3. Steve Witkoff
  4. Zach Witkoff
  5. Barron Trump
  6. Zak Folkman

Executive action

Presidential actions, judicial outcomes, and documented public-cost estimates.

Clemency: money and restitution

Restitution is money a court orders a defendant to repay victims. The House figure includes repayment requests and money already paid, not just debt canceled by clemency. Lobbying fees and political donations are counted separately.

Force and civilian harm

Documented threats or uses of force, affected civilians and protected objects, and attributable public cost.

Documented civilian-harm incidents

Close

Minab school attack: Human Rights Watch calls for war-crime investigation

Human Rights Watch's March 7 investigation called the February 28 attack on Minab's Shajareh Tayyebeh Primary School unlawful and said it should be investigated as a war crime. Researcher Sophia Jones called for examining whether those responsible should have known the school was occupied. The report had not conclusively attributed the strike to the United States or Israel.

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How this figure is calculated

40

Calculation
Sum distinct incidents with documented civilian death, injury, displacement, or destruction linked to a qualifying use of force.
Included
A dated incident, location, harm type, attribution standard, source, and uncertainty assessment.
Excluded
Combatant-only casualties, unverifiable social-media claims, duplicate incident reports, and projected rather than observed harm.
Displayed value
Subtotal of the published observations, not a complete historical census.

Yakla civilian-harm incident

Population
January 29, 2017 raid in al-Ghyeel, Yakla area, al-Bayda governorate, Yemen
Period
2017-01-29 to 2017-01-29
Method
Count one raid with civilian deaths reported by HRW from village witnesses and a treating hospital director. Do not count each damaged house or casualty as another incident.
Limitations
HRW's civilian classification is attributed, not a judicial finding. The US military acknowledged likely civilian deaths but disputed aspects of local accounts. Non-overlapping with the 2025 Rough Rider incidents.

Baghuz civilian-harm incident

Population
Civilians in the March 18, 2019 Baghuz strike, US review assessment
Period
2019-03-18 to 2019-03-18
Method
US review's civilian classification and casualty breakdown, excluding enemy fighters. Existing inquiry and possible-war-crime observations are not repeated.
Limitations
Official assessment differs from earlier reporting. Preserve the separately attributed source assessment and the US review's contrary legal conclusion.

El Burr civilian-harm incident

Population
April 1, 2018 El Burr, Somalia strike; revised AFRICOM assessment
Period
2018-04-01 to 2018-04-01
Method
The FY2025 Q2 finding adds one previously unknown death to two earlier acknowledged deaths. One incident, counted once; no separate additional-death counter.
Limitations
More-likely-than-not official finding; identifying details withheld to protect surviving family. No injury value inferred from its omission.

Minab school civilian-harm incident

Population
People killed or injured in the February 28, 2026 Minab school strike, Airwars assessment reported by AP
Period
2026-02-28 to 2026-02-28
Method
Uses Airwars' lower bound as reported in AP's forensic reconstruction; excludes overlapping Iranian official totals. The previously recorded possible-war-crime assessment is not counted again.
Limitations
Source-assessed US strike attribution; the US investigation had not publicly concluded in the reporting reviewed. Fatality estimates and injury ranges may be revised.

Mosul civilian-harm incident

Population
March 17, 2017 Mosul strike investigated by US authorities
Period
2017-03-17 to 2017-03-17
Method
One incident; existing inquiry count is not repeated.
Limitations
Deaths and the inquiry are distinct measures of the same event.

Amnesty-assessed Somalia incidents

Population
Five Lower Shabelle incidents investigated by Amnesty; source-assessed US attribution and civilian classification
Period
2017-10-16 to 2018-12-09
Method
Amnesty's five-event aggregate; 65 witness/survivor interviews, imagery and corroboration. Distinct dates exclude El Burr April 2018 and official 2019–20 cases. No component counts are also added.
Limitations
US attribution at Illimey was assessed most plausible, not confirmed; AFRICOM disputed attribution there and civilian harm elsewhere. These remain attributed NGO findings.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250315a; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-03-15 to 2025-03-15
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250315b; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-03-15 to 2025-03-16
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250316a; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-03-16 to 2025-03-16
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250316b; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-03-16 to 2025-03-16
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250319a; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-03-19 to 2025-03-19
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250323a; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-03-23 to 2025-03-23
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250324a; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-03-24 to 2025-03-24
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250326a; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-03-26 to 2025-03-26
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250328a; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-03-28 to 2025-03-28
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250328b; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-03-28 to 2025-03-28
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250330a; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-03-30 to 2025-03-30
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250330b; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-03-30 to 2025-03-30
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250401a; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-04-01 to 2025-04-01
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250403a; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-04-03 to 2025-04-03
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250405a; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-04-05 to 2025-04-05
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250408a; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-04-08 to 2025-04-08
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250408b; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-04-08 to 2025-04-08
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250409a; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-04-09 to 2025-04-09
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250413a; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-04-13 to 2025-04-13
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250413b; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-04-13 to 2025-04-13
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250416a; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-04-16 to 2025-04-16
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250419a; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-04-19 to 2025-04-19
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250419b; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-04-19 to 2025-04-19
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250419c; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-04-19 to 2025-04-19
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250424a; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-04-24 to 2025-04-24
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250426a; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-04-26 to 2025-04-26
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Airwars-assessed civilian-harm incident

Population
Airwars USYEM250427a; US-attributed Operation Rough Rider civilian harm
Period
2025-04-27 to 2025-04-27
Method
Airwars incident minimum; fair civilian-harm evidence and likely/declared US attribution. Incident IDs deduplicate time and place. Excludes the three April 6, 17 and 28 incidents already represented by DoD observations. No operation count is added for this component of Rough Rider.
Limitations
Independent source assessment, not a US admission or legal finding. Local reporting may be incomplete; Airwars maintains live assessments and reported ranges. Missing death or injury values remain unmeasured.

Documented civilian-harm incidents

Population
Operation Rough Rider incidents the Defense Department assessed as more likely than not causing civilian casualties
Period
2025-04-06 to 2025-04-28
Method
Count of the three confirmed civilian-harm incidents listed in the Defense Department's 2025 annual civilian-casualty report.
Limitations
Fifteen additional Yemen incident reports remained under assessment as of February 1, 2026 and are excluded.

Conflict accountability

Attributed legal assessments, official civilian-harm inquiries, conflict-related pardons and ICC sanctions orders.

Political and foreign influence

Money or assets with a documented political, foreign-state, or foreign-policy connection.

Business and charity

Business revenue, public payments, court outcomes, and bankruptcy records tied to Trump-linked organizations.

Crypto exposure

Verified market, wallet, and proceeds measurements tied to Trump-linked tokens or ventures.